Tuesday, May 09, 2006

Warren Buffett: on real estate

On the real estate bubble

Buffett: May 8th, 2006 speech: "What we see in our residential brokerage business [HomeServices of America, the nation's second-largest realtor] is a slowdown everyplace, most dramatically in the formerly hottest markets. [Buffett singled out Dade and Broward counties in Florida as an area that has experienced a rise in unsold inventory and a stagnation in price.] The day traders of the Internet moved into trading condos, and that kind of speculation can produce a market that can move in a big way. You can get real discontinuities. We've had a real bubble to some degree. I would be surprised if there aren't some significant downward adjustments, especially in the higher end of the housing market."

On mortgage financing

Munger (Buffett's partner): "There is a lot of ridiculous credit being extended in the U.S. housing sector."

Buffett: "Dumb lending always has its consequences. It's like a disease that doesn't manifest itself for a few weeks, like an epidemic that doesn't show up until it's too late to stop it Any developer will build anything he can borrow against. If you look at the 10Ks that are getting filed [by banks] and compare them just against last year's 10Ks, and look at their balances of 'interest accrued but not paid,' you'll see some very interesting statistics [implying that many homeowners are no longer able to service their current debt]."


Blogger hemorrhoidforhousing said...

Nice site! Keep it up, people will come. It takes time to find these sites.

I have been telling people a crap 1,000 sq.ft. house next to the railroad tracks in Livermore isn't worth $525,000 let alone $400,000 for awhile now.

People are now starting to wake up, but I think it's too late for some.

11:01 AM  

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